Europese melkproductie in een cijfercontext European Dairy Farmers

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1 Europese melkproductie in een cijfercontext European Dairy Farmers Jan Halewyck EDF STAR Belgium 1 11/01/2018 Eurodairy Economic Resiliance studiedagen 11&12 januari 2018

2 2 11. Januar 2018 European Dairy Farmers e.v. wwww.dairyfarmer.net

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4 Een club van mensen, melkveehouders uit Europa (en Canada, Australië, Oekraine, ) Januar 2018 European Dairy Farmers e.v.

5 EDF 500 leden ontmoeten elkaar jaarlijks op congres eind juni Januar 2018 European Dairy Farmers e.v.

6 6 11. Januar 2018 European Dairy Farmers e.v.

7 Cost of production analysis EDF

8 COP analyse: beperkte representativiteit Cijfers van de leden van de club Landgemiddelden zijn niet representatief voor het land Enkel gemiddelden van de groep leden van dat land Maar wel unieke manier om te kunnen vergelijken met collega s over Europese landsgrenzen heen. 8 11/01/2018

9 9 EDF s BEP II is de melkprijsdie eenmelkveebedrijfnodigheeftom de volledige economische kost van de melkproductie te dekken op lange termijn. BEP II = Total costs in the dairy enterprise Dairy-related, non-milk returns in the dairy enterprise in Euro Cent per kg ECM Range(1 black dot = 1 EDF farm) and median (blue box = half of the farms produce for less than ) in BEP II, Euro Cent per kg of energy-corrected milk (4% fat, 3.4% protein) produced EDF Cost of Production Comparison 2017, not representative

10 10 EDF s focus is op kosten omdat verschillen in kosten de grootste oorzaak zijn van verschil in rendabiliteit tussen bedrijven Entrepreneur s profit I, Ct per kg ECM Milk price, Ct per kg ECM BEP II, Ct per kg ECM Entrepreneur s profit I = Total returns (excl. decoupled farm payments) Total costs 1 blue dot = 1 EDF farm. Entrepreneur s profit I (excluding decoupled farm payments), milk price and BEP II in kg of energycorrected milk (4% fat, 3.4% protein) produced EDF Cost of Production Comparison 2017, not representative

11 --25% MEDIAN --50% ++50% ++25% EDF BE (mean, all farms) compared to EDF EU (mean, all farms) Milk yield/cow, kg ECM +160 kg ECM/cow Total costs/cow, -129 /cow Total costs/kg ECM, Cent -2.2 Cent/kg ECM Non-milk returns/kg ECM, Cent -2.3 Cent/kg ECM Break-Even-Point II, Cent +0.1 Cent/kg ECM Milk price/kg ECM, Cent -3.0 Cent/kg ECM Entrepreneur s profit/kg ECM, Cent -3.1 Cent/kg ECM

12 IE SE DE BE DK FR NL 12 farms 28 farms 26 farms 20 farms 16 farms 44 farms 42 farms Total costs /cow 2,001 4,465 3,649 3,557 4,185 3,726 4,002 Milk yield kg/cow 6,231 10,642 9,326 9,192 10,909 8,263 8,821 Total costs Ct/kg Dairy-related, non-milk returns Ct/kg BEP II Ct/kg Extremely low input results in low cost despite low milk yield. High non-milk returns compensate for quite high costs. Moderate input in combination with average milk yield. Moderate input in combination with average milk yield. Low non-milk returns. Low dairyrelated, nonmilk returns mean a disadvantage. Moderate input combined with low milk yield results in high costs. High input combined with moderate milk yield results in high costs. Milk price Ct/kg E. profit I Ct/kg E. profit II Ct/kg

13 BEP II, evolutie, in Euro Cent per kg ECM, langetermijncop deelnemers BE FR SE NL IE DK DE 13

14 14 Competitiviteit van melk productie: BEP II vs. bedrijfsgrootte BEP II (excl. quota costs) in EUR ct per kg ECM, herd size in heads of dairy cows EDF farms from West European branches: AT, BE, DE, FR, NL North European branches: DK, SE the islands: UK, IE South European branches: IT, ES, PT East European branches: SK, SZ, PL Ook kleinere familie bedrijven kunnen melk produceren op vergelijkbare lage kost per kg melk. 11. Januar 2018 European Dairy Farmers Source: EDF Cost of Production Comparison, EDF farms with beginning of accounting period in 2nd, 3rd or 4th quarter of 2013 or in the 1st quarter of 2014, not representative (1 dot = 1 farm)

15 Pachtprijsgrond( /ha) en kostarbeid( /h) by EDF branches, mean, EDF Cost of Production Comparison 2017 Rent price level, /ha forage area EDF farms avg. costs per ha of own and rented forage area used Lower prices for labour offset a higher input: about 70 hours/cow/year, mostly incl. replacement herd but excl. the production of forage & concentrates 15 Labour price level, /working hour for dairy EDF farms avg. costs per working hour delivered by family and hired labour

16 EDF nationale groepen: Uitstaande schuld en te betalen intrest, Schulden in EUR/koe en te betalen intrest(excl. aflossing) in Ct/kg ECM, nationale groep gemiddelde. 6.0 Source: EDF Cost of Production Comparison 2014, not representative Real interest payments on debts, Ct/kg ECM UA* PT* SK* IT* FR DE BE CH* SE ES* 2,000 4,000 6,000 8,000 10,000 12,000 14,000 16,000 18,000 20,000 CZ* PL UK* Geraamde schulden van de melkveetak, EUR/koe Hogeschuldenmet hogeintrestlastin DK, CAN, NL en SE NL CAN DK Farms' accounting period starting in the 2 nd, 3 rd or 4 th quarter of 2012 or in the 1 st quarter of 2013, *less than 10 farms in the group, Attention: Not all farms of the group provided the figures = different sample as for the other averages!

17 Januar 2018 European Dairy Farmers e.v.

18 Beperkte cash reserves omdat landbouwers hun winsten geïnvesteerd hebben in bedrijfsmodernisatie en groei, Snapshot Survey 2016 Working out a CASH BUDGET to monitor the cash situation? 40% work it out regularly and thereof 80% update it monthly or at least quarterly. 18% recently started with regularly cash budgeting. Maar 1/3 gebruiktewinstenom cash reserves op tebouwen(95% alsaanvullingop anderestrategiën). 18 Cash buffers verschillennaargelangde referentiebasis (x per cow, x per farm, x per kg of milk produced, x % of the subsidies received, x% of debts, x-times of the monthly milk revenues, x-times of the annual income, expenses for x months) en hoeveelheid (200 to 1800 /cow Ø 700 /cow, 49 farms gave details). ¾ bedrijvenheeftwinstenhergeïnvesteerdom het bedrijftemoderniserenen verbeteren. 45% investeerde dit in uitbreiding van de veestapel; 40% in kostenreductie. 11. Januar 2018 European Dairy Farmers e.v. EDF Snapshot Results not representative.

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20 Geïnteresseerd in ons netwerk? European Dairy Farmers Bezoekhet EDF Congress 2018 in Santiago de Compostella(Spanje) Let's walk along the Milky Way together van dinsdag 26 tot donderdag 28 juni

21 Not the smallonesare eatenby the bigones, but the slow onesare eatenby the fastones Prof. Dr. Folkhard Isermeyer