The HEcS Program. Redesign of the Chain of Economic Statistics in the Netherlands. Herontwerp Keten Economische Statistieken. In Dutch: Heks = Witch

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Gerrit van der Laan
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1 Redesign of the Chain of Economic Statistics in the Netherlands The HEcS Program In Dutch: Heks = Witch Herontwerp Keten Economische Statistieken Barteld Braaksma Statistics Netherlands

2 Outline of presentation General setting What? Why? How?! SN Business Architecture! Data processing strategy Use of registers Short-term turnover statistics for SME s Direct estimates of totals Large units

3 What? Scope of redesign The whole chain of economic statistics from Primary statistics Focus today until Supply and use tables and Sector accounts

4 Why? Main goals Quality improvement! Less revisions of GDP Efficiency gains! Staff reductions Reduction of response burden! Small and medium-sized enterprises

5 How? Guiding principles Output is leading Focus on main aggregates Three-way model:! Tailor-made approach for largest units! Registers for small units! Mix registers/surveys for medium-size units Fall-back scenarios! Deal with register delivery problems Chain management Important tool: SN Business Architecture

Mix registers/surveys for medium-size units Fall-back scenarios!

6 SN Business Architecture (1) Beleid, budgetstelling, catalogus databronnen Design Planning and Control voorschriften Procesmetadata: voorschriften Planningen procesmodel Procesmetadata: workflow & proceskwaliteit databronnen Conceptuele base/input metadata & productkwaliteit Plannen, monitoren, bijsturen en aanpassen Te realiseren - (tussen)producten -kwaliteit Voortgang - audit trail - rapportages statistiek product Conceptuele output metadata & productkwaliteit Catalogus: gerealiseerde - (tussen)producten -kwaliteit Bepalen statistische Informatie behoefte Opdrachtgever Afnemer Statistics Production Berichtgever Respondent Voorbereiden, uitzenden Enquêteren, uniformeren & controleren Koppelen, afleiden & gaafmaken Aggregeren, schatten & integreren Beveiligen, publiceerbaar maken Beschikbaar stellen Statistisch proces informatiemodel Inputbase Microbase Statbase Outputbase

rapportages statistiek product Conceptuele output metadata & productkwaliteit Catalogus: gerealiseerde - (tussen)producten -kwaliteit Bepalen statistische Informatie behoefte Opdrachtgever Afnemer

7 How (2) Steady states in process chain Well-defined states of data processing for! Quality control! Chain management! Re-use of data Central role in (re)design and production Access through central Data Service Centre

8 SN Business Architecture (2) Beleid, budgetstelling, catalogus databronnen voorschriften procesmodel databronnen statistiek product Bepalen statistische Informatie behoefte Procesmetadata: voorschriften Procesmetadata: workflow & proceskwaliteit Conceptuele base/input metadata & productkwaliteit Plannen, monitoren, bijsturen en aanpassen Conceptuele output metadata & productkwaliteit Opdrachtgever Afnemer Planningen Te realiseren - (tussen)producten -kwaliteit Voortgang - audit trail - rapportages Catalogus: gerealiseerde - (tussen)producten -kwaliteit Berichtgever Respondent Voorbereiden, uitzenden Enquêteren, uniformeren & controleren Koppelen, afleiden & gaafmaken Aggregeren, schatten & integreren Beveiligen, publiceerbaar maken Beschikbaar stellen inputbase Statistisch proces informatiemodel Inputbase Microbase Statbase Outputbase outputbase microbase statbase

Opdrachtgever Afnemer Planningen Te realiseren - (tussen)producten -kwaliteit Voortgang - audit trail - rapportages Catalogus: gerealiseerde - (tussen)producten -kwaliteit Berichtgever Respondent

9 Data processing strategy Data collection (primary/secondary)! Central processing service Source-oriented processing (micro)! No duplication of work Combination of sources (meso)! Based on data available Completion of data (macro)! Model-based Dissemination

No duplication of work Combination of sources (meso)!

10 Use of registers Key element to achieve main goals! Response burden! Efficiency (automated processing)! Quality effect??? Statistical law (2003) enables use of registers! Tax registers (VAT, corporate tax, profit tax)! New register on wages and social security! Basic Business register simplifies matching! Available free of charge Statistical law also imposes use of registers

?? Statistical law (2003) enables use of registers!

11 Short-term turnover statistics (SME s) Replace (M/Q) surveys by VAT! Rule-based processing! Implementation beginning of 2008 Questions to be addressed! Do we need to redefine output?! How to fit in statistical chain (Quarterly GDP)?! How to fit in organisation/systems/processes?! Final or transitional situation (architecture)?

Do we need to redefine output?! How to fit in statistical chain (Quarterly GDP)?

12 Large and complex units Top-XXX ( enterprises)! Non-financial enterprises! Financial institutions (Top-XX with DNB)! Government??? Tailor-made data collection! Use what is available in-house (registers!)! Coverage of full SN-information needs??? Unit-based processing

Government??? Tailor-made data collection!

13 Direct estimates of totals Compile statistics directly from registers! GBR as auxiliary information Research project! Top-down approach: details subordinate! Project runs until mid 2008 But also a production goal:! Population estimates for KAUs from registers! Decision end 2007: current e-survey still needed?

14 Conclusions Very ambitious program (scope, speed) High pressure to achieve quick results Huge task for whole organisation Success of HEcS crucial for SN

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